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There are fundamentally two possible changes in an economy that will each cause inflation unless other compensating changes also occur....

GMAT Critical Reasoning : (CR) Questions

Source: Official Guide
Critical Reasoning
Inference
MEDIUM
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There are fundamentally two possible changes in an economy that will each cause inflation unless other compensating changes also occur. These changes are either reductions in the supply of goods and services or increases in demand. In a pre-banking economy the quantity of money available, and hence the level of demand, is equivalent to the quantity of gold available.

If the statements above are true, then it is also true that in a pre-banking economy

A
any inflation is the result of reductions in the supply of goods and services
B
if other factors in the economy are unchanged, increasing the quantity of gold available will lead to inflation
C
if there is a reduction in the quantity of gold available, then, other things being equal, inflation must result
D
the quantity of goods and services purchasable by a given amount of gold is constant
E
whatever changes in demand occur, there will be compensating changes in the supply of goods and services
Solution

Passage Visualization

Passage Statement Visualization and Linkage
"There are fundamentally two possible changes in an economy that will each cause inflation unless other compensating changes also occur." Establishes: Two specific triggers for inflation

Key Pattern: Each change alone → inflation (unless compensated)

Example:
  • Current inflation rate: 2%
  • If either trigger occurs without compensation → inflation rises above 2%
"These changes are either reductions in the supply of goods and services or increases in demand." Identifies the Two Triggers:
  • Trigger 1: Supply reduction
  • Trigger 2: Demand increase

Concrete Example:
  • Supply scenario: Wheat harvest drops from 100 million tons to 80 million tons
  • Demand scenario: Consumer spending increases from $500B to $600B

Both lead to same outcome: Inflation
"In a pre-banking economy the quantity of money available, and hence the level of demand, is equivalent to the quantity of gold available." Establishes Direct Equivalence:
Money = Gold = Demand Level

Critical Link: No banking system to multiply money supply

Numerical Example:
  • Gold available: 1,000 ounces
  • Money in circulation: 1,000 ounces worth
  • Demand level: Exactly what 1,000 ounces can purchase

Perfect 1:1:1 relationship
Overall Implication Core Pattern Revealed: In pre-banking economies, gold quantity directly controls one of the two inflation triggers

Logical Chain:
Gold ↔ Money ↔ Demand ↔ Inflation Trigger

Example Scenario:
  • Current gold: 1,000 ounces → Demand Level A
  • Gold discovery increases to 1,500 ounces → Demand Level B (50% higher)
  • Result: Inflation trigger activated

This creates a direct causal pathway from gold changes to inflation risk.

Valid Inferences

Inference: In a pre-banking economy, increases in the quantity of gold available will cause inflation unless other compensating changes occur.

Supporting Logic: Since reductions in demand cause inflation unless compensated, and since the level of demand is equivalent to the quantity of gold available in a pre-banking economy, therefore reductions in gold quantity directly reduce demand and trigger inflation. The passage establishes that demand decreases are one of the two fundamental changes that cause inflation, and in pre-banking economies, gold quantity determines demand level through the direct equivalence relationship.

Clarification Note: This inference focuses on gold reductions specifically, as the passage establishes the equivalence relationship between gold and demand, allowing us to directly apply the inflation-causing mechanism to changes in gold quantity.

Answer Choices Explained
A
any inflation is the result of reductions in the supply of goods and services
This is too absolute. The passage tells us there are two possible changes that cause inflation: supply reductions OR demand increases. In a pre-banking economy, changes in gold quantity affect demand levels, so inflation could result from demand changes (via gold quantity changes) rather than just supply reductions. This choice incorrectly eliminates one of the two stated causes.
B
if other factors in the economy are unchanged, increasing the quantity of gold available will lead to inflation
This follows perfectly from the argument's logic. Since gold quantity equals demand level in pre-banking economies, and increased demand causes inflation (unless compensated), increasing gold with no other changes must lead to inflation. The 'other factors unchanged' condition ensures no compensating changes occur.
C
if there is a reduction in the quantity of gold available, then, other things being equal, inflation must result
This has the wrong direction. Gold reduction means demand reduction, not demand increase. The passage states that increases in demand cause inflation. A reduction in demand would typically fight inflation, not cause it. This choice confuses the relationship between demand changes and inflation.
D
the quantity of goods and services purchasable by a given amount of gold is constant
This contradicts the entire premise about inflation. If inflation occurs (as the passage discusses), the purchasing power of gold changes - you can buy less with the same amount of gold. This choice essentially denies that inflation affects purchasing power.
E
whatever changes in demand occur, there will be compensating changes in the supply of goods and services
This is way too strong and not supported. The passage mentions that compensating changes can occur to prevent inflation, but doesn't guarantee they will always occur. This choice assumes automatic compensation that isn't established in the argument.
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