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Most geologists believe oil results from chemical transformations of hydrocarbons derived from organisms buried under ancient seas. Suppose, instead, ...

GMAT Critical Reasoning : (CR) Questions

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Most geologists believe oil results from chemical transformations of hydrocarbons derived from organisms buried under ancient seas. Suppose, instead, that oil actually results from bacterial action on other complex hydrocarbons that are trapped within the Earth. As is well known, the volume of these hydrocarbons exceeds that of buried organisms. Therefore, our oil reserves would be greater than most geologists believe.

Which of the following, if true, gives the strongest support to the argument above about our oil reserves?

A
Most geologists think optimistically about the Earths reserves of oil.
B
Most geologists have performed accurate chemical analyses on previously discovered oil reserves.
C
Ancient seas are buried within the Earth at many places where fossils are abundant.
D
The only bacteria yet found in oil reserves could have leaked down drill holes from surface contaminants.
E
Chemical transformations reduce the volume of buried hydrocarbons derived from organisms by roughly the same proportion as bacterial action reduces the volume of other complex hydrocarbons.
Solution

Passage Analysis:

Text from PassageAnalysis
Most geologists believe oil results from chemical transformations of hydrocarbons derived from organisms buried under ancient seas.
  • What it says: Most geologists think oil comes from ancient sea organisms that got buried and chemically changed
  • What it does: Sets up the current mainstream scientific view about oil formation
  • What it is: Established scientific belief
  • Visualization: Current theory: Buried sea organisms → Chemical changes → Oil we use today
Suppose, instead, that oil actually results from bacterial action on other complex hydrocarbons that are trapped within the Earth.
  • What it says: Here's an alternative idea - oil comes from bacteria acting on different hydrocarbons already trapped underground
  • What it does: Introduces a competing theory that challenges the mainstream geological view
  • What it is: Author's hypothetical alternative theory
  • Visualization: Alternative theory: Trapped underground hydrocarbons + Bacterial action → Oil we use today
As is well known, the volume of these hydrocarbons exceeds that of buried organisms.
  • What it says: There are way more of these trapped hydrocarbons underground than there ever were buried sea organisms
  • What it does: Provides a key fact that supports the alternative theory by showing there's more raw material available
  • What it is: Generally accepted fact
  • Visualization: Underground trapped hydrocarbons: 1000 units vs Buried sea organisms: 200 units
Therefore, our oil reserves would be greater than most geologists believe.
  • What it says: If the alternative theory is right, we'd have way more oil available than scientists currently think
  • What it does: Draws the logical conclusion by connecting the greater volume of source material to bigger oil reserves
  • What it is: Author's main conclusion

Argument Flow:

The argument starts by presenting the standard geological view, then introduces an alternative theory about oil formation. It supports this alternative with a key fact about the greater volume of source materials, then concludes that this would mean larger oil reserves.

Main Conclusion:

Our oil reserves would be greater than most geologists believe.

Logical Structure:

The argument uses a simple if-then structure: IF oil comes from bacterial action on trapped hydrocarbons (alternative theory) AND there are more trapped hydrocarbons than buried organisms (established fact), THEN we'd have more oil reserves than currently believed. The logic depends on the idea that more source material equals more final product.

Prethinking:

Question type:

Strengthen - We need to find information that makes the conclusion (oil reserves would be greater than geologists believe) more believable

Precision of Claims

The argument makes quantity claims about hydrocarbon volumes and activity claims about bacterial processes converting hydrocarbons to oil

Strategy

To strengthen this argument, we need evidence that supports either: (1) the bacterial theory is actually viable/true, (2) the trapped hydrocarbons can actually be converted to oil efficiently, or (3) the process would indeed result in more accessible oil reserves than the traditional theory predicts

Answer Choices Explained
A
Most geologists think optimistically about the Earths reserves of oil.

This choice tells us that most geologists are optimistic about oil reserves, but this doesn't help strengthen the argument about the bacterial theory leading to greater reserves. Even if geologists are already optimistic, the argument could still be correct that reserves would be even greater under the bacterial theory. This choice is irrelevant to evaluating whether the bacterial theory would actually result in more oil.

B
Most geologists have performed accurate chemical analyses on previously discovered oil reserves.

This choice about geologists performing accurate chemical analyses on existing reserves doesn't strengthen the argument. The argument isn't questioning the accuracy of current reserve estimates, but rather proposing that a different formation process (bacterial vs. chemical transformation) would lead to different reserve quantities. Past analytical accuracy doesn't tell us anything about whether the bacterial theory would yield more oil.

C
Ancient seas are buried within the Earth at many places where fossils are abundant.

This choice about ancient seas being buried where fossils are abundant actually supports the mainstream geological view rather than the alternative bacterial theory. If anything, this might weaken the argument by providing evidence for the traditional theory about oil formation from buried sea organisms.

D
The only bacteria yet found in oil reserves could have leaked down drill holes from surface contaminants.

This choice suggests that bacteria found in oil reserves might just be surface contamination, which would actually weaken the bacterial theory rather than strengthen it. If the bacteria aren't naturally occurring in the oil formation process, this undermines the alternative theory the argument is promoting.

E
Chemical transformations reduce the volume of buried hydrocarbons derived from organisms by roughly the same proportion as bacterial action reduces the volume of other complex hydrocarbons.

This is the correct answer because it addresses the critical gap in the argument's logic. The argument assumes that more source material (trapped hydrocarbons vs. buried organisms) automatically means more oil reserves. However, this only works if the conversion processes are similarly efficient. By telling us that both chemical transformations and bacterial action reduce hydrocarbon volume by roughly the same proportion, we can confidently conclude that starting with more source material would indeed result in proportionally more oil reserves. This directly strengthens the conclusion.

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