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In Air Flight's regular customer surveys, complaints about flight delays have increased over the last five years, as have complaints about cramped seating. Flight delays have become more common, but Air Flight's seats are no smaller, so airline officials interpreted the increase in complaints about seating as a natural outcome of the annoyance at delays. The airline is planning to improve its on-time performance; if it succeeds, the officials predict that complaints about seating will fall again.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously challenges the officials' prediction?
| Text from Passage | Analysis |
| In Air Flight's regular customer surveys, complaints about flight delays have increased over the last five years, as have complaints about cramped seating. |
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| Flight delays have become more common, but Air Flight's seats are no smaller, so airline officials interpreted the increase in complaints about seating as a natural outcome of the annoyance at delays. |
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| The airline is planning to improve its on-time performance; if it succeeds, the officials predict that complaints about seating will fall again. |
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We start with the puzzle of two types of complaints both increasing. Then officials offer their theory that one causes the other (delays make people complain about seats). Finally, they make a prediction based on this theory.
If Air Flight improves on-time performance, complaints about seating will decrease.
The officials assume that seating complaints are just displaced anger from flight delays. Their logic is: fix the real problem (delays) and the fake problem (seating complaints) will go away too. We need to find something that breaks this connection.
Weaken - We need to find information that reduces belief in the officials' prediction that fixing delays will reduce seating complaints
The officials' prediction is very specific: if they succeed in improving on-time performance, complaints about seating will fall. This creates a cause-and-effect relationship between delay improvements and seating complaint reductions
To weaken this prediction, we need to find scenarios that suggest seating complaints won't decrease even if delays are fixed. The officials assume seating complaints are just displaced anger from delays, but what if there are other reasons people complain about seats? We should look for alternative explanations for why seating complaints increased, or reasons why fixing delays won't help with seating issues