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For several years Buddy's Bolt Barn has specialized in supplying fasteners - nuts, bolts, screws - to workshops and manufacturing...

GMAT Critical Reasoning : (CR) Questions

Source: Official Guide
Critical Reasoning
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For several years Buddy's Bolt Barn has specialized in supplying fasteners - nuts, bolts, screws - to workshops and manufacturing firms in the region. Buddy's in fact now supplies virtually all of the fasteners that this segment of the region's industry uses. Recently, however, many of the region's workshops and manufacturing firms have closed down. Therefore, unless Buddy's can expand into a new market segment, it too is likely to go out of business.

Which of the following, if true, most strengthens the argument?

A
Most of the fasteners that Buddy's carries in inventory are not specialized and can be used in a wide variety of industries.
B
Historically, period with a lot of closures of workshops and manufacturing firms have generally been followed by periods with many startups of such firms.
C
Even with the recent closures, there are more workshops and manufacturing firms operating in the region now than there were when Buddy's Bolt Barn first opened.
D
The workshops and manufacturing firms in the region that have remained in business have all laid off workers because of shortage of orders.
E
Some of Buddy's managers have prior retail experience in other market segments.
Solution

Passage Analysis:

Text from Passage Analysis
For several years Buddy's Bolt Barn has specialized in supplying fasteners - nuts, bolts, screws - to workshops and manufacturing firms in the region.
  • What it says: Buddy's is a fastener supplier focused on one specific customer group in their region
  • What it does: Sets up background info about the company and what they do
  • What it is: Author's factual background
  • Visualization: Buddy's → Fasteners → Regional workshops/manufacturers
Buddy's in fact now supplies virtually all of the fasteners that this segment of the region's industry uses.
  • What it says: Buddy's dominates their market - they're basically the only supplier for these customers
  • What it does: Builds on the previous point to show how successful and dominant Buddy's has become
  • What it is: Author's claim about market dominance
  • Visualization: Market share: Buddy's ~95%, Other suppliers ~5%
Recently, however, many of the region's workshops and manufacturing firms have closed down.
  • What it says: Buddy's customer base is shrinking because businesses are shutting down
  • What it does: Introduces a major problem that threatens Buddy's dominant position
  • What it is: Author's factual claim about market changes
  • Visualization: Customer base: Before ~100 firms → Now ~60 firms (40% closed)
Therefore, unless Buddy's can expand into a new market segment, it too is likely to go out of business.
  • What it says: Since Buddy's customers are disappearing, they need new customers or they'll fail
  • What it does: Draws a conclusion from the previous facts - connects shrinking customer base to business survival
  • What it is: Author's main conclusion

Argument Flow:

The argument starts by establishing Buddy's strong position as a dominant supplier, then introduces the threat of customer losses, and concludes that expansion is necessary for survival.

Main Conclusion:

Unless Buddy's can expand into a new market segment, it's likely to go out of business.

Logical Structure:

The logic connects Buddy's dependence on one customer segment with the decline of that segment to predict business failure without diversification.

Prethinking:

Question type:

Strengthen - We need to find information that makes the conclusion more believable. The conclusion is that Buddy's will likely go out of business unless they expand into new market segments.

Precision of Claims

The argument makes specific claims about market dominance (virtually all fasteners), customer base changes (many firms closed), and business survival (likely to go out of business). We need to respect these precise quantities and relationships.

Strategy

To strengthen this argument, we want information that makes it even more likely that Buddy's will fail without expansion. We can do this by showing that their current situation is even worse than described, that expansion is even more necessary, or that their dependence on the current market is even more complete. We should look for scenarios that eliminate alternative solutions or make their predicament more severe.

Answer Choices Explained
A
Most of the fasteners that Buddy's carries in inventory are not specialized and can be used in a wide variety of industries.

This actually weakens the argument because it suggests that Buddy's already has products that could easily work in other market segments, making expansion more feasible and reducing the likelihood that they'll go out of business.

B
Historically, period with a lot of closures of workshops and manufacturing firms have generally been followed by periods with many startups of such firms.

This weakens the argument by suggesting that Buddy's current customer base might recover naturally over time, reducing the necessity for immediate expansion into new markets.

C
Even with the recent closures, there are more workshops and manufacturing firms operating in the region now than there were when Buddy's Bolt Barn first opened.

This weakens the argument because it implies that despite recent closures, Buddy's still has a larger customer base than when they started, suggesting they're not in as dire a situation as the conclusion suggests.

D
The workshops and manufacturing firms in the region that have remained in business have all laid off workers because of shortage of orders.

This strengthens the argument significantly. We know many firms have already closed, but this tells us that even the surviving firms are struggling financially and reducing their workforce. Companies that lay off workers typically reduce production and operations, meaning they'll need fewer fasteners from Buddy's. This makes Buddy's situation even worse than initially described and makes expansion even more critical.

E
Some of Buddy's managers have prior retail experience in other market segments.

This weakens the argument because it suggests that Buddy's has internal expertise that could help them successfully expand into new markets, making business failure less likely.

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