Animal-rights supporters in the United States have, in the last two years, increased their activities protesting the use of animals...
GMAT Critical Reasoning : (CR) Questions
Animal-rights supporters in the United States have, in the last two years, increased their activities protesting the use of animals for fur coats. During this period fur coat sales began to decrease steadily. Therefore, the activities of the animal-rights supporters must have been the cause of the decline in fur sales.
Which of the following, if true, would be most damaging to the argument above?
Passage Analysis:
Text from Passage | Analysis |
Animal-rights supporters in the United States have, in the last two years, increased their activities protesting the use of animals for fur coats. |
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During this period fur coat sales began to decrease steadily. |
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Therefore, the activities of the animal-rights supporters must have been the cause of the decline in fur sales. |
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Argument Flow:
The argument presents two facts that happened during the same time period, then jumps to a causal conclusion. We get the timing of increased protests, then the timing of decreased sales, and finally a strong claim that one caused the other.
Main Conclusion:
Animal-rights supporters' increased protest activities caused the decline in fur coat sales.
Logical Structure:
This is a classic correlation-to-causation argument. Just because two things happened at the same time (protests increased AND sales decreased), the author assumes one must have caused the other. The argument treats timing overlap as proof of causation, which is a logical weakness.
Prethinking:
Question type:
Weaken - We need to find information that would reduce our belief in the conclusion that animal-rights protests caused the decline in fur sales
Precision of Claims
The argument makes a specific causal claim about protests being THE cause of declining fur sales over a precise 2-year timeframe
Strategy
To weaken this causal argument, we need to find alternative explanations for why fur sales declined during this period. The author assumes that because protests increased and sales decreased at the same time, the protests must have caused the sales drop. We can weaken this by showing other factors that could explain the decline, or by showing the protests weren't actually effective in causing the decline.