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A contest will consist of \(\mathrm{n}\) questions, each of which is to be answered with "True" or "False". Anyone who answers all \(\mathrm{n}\) questions correctly will be a winner. What is the least value of \(\mathrm{n}\) for which the probability is less than \(\frac{1}{1000}\) that a person who randomly guesses the answer to each question will be a winner?
Let's break down what this problem is asking in plain English. We have a contest with n True/False questions. To win, someone must get ALL n questions right. We want to find the smallest number of questions where a person randomly guessing has less than a 1 in 1000 chance of winning.
Think of it this way: if there's only 1 question, a random guesser has a 50-50 chance of winning - that's way too high! We need enough questions so that getting them all right by pure luck becomes extremely unlikely.
Process Skill: TRANSLATE - Converting the word problem into a clear mathematical requirement
Let's think through this step by step with concrete examples:
Do you see the pattern? Each additional question cuts the probability in half!
For n questions, the probability of getting all correct by random guessing = \(\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^n\)
We need this probability to be less than \(\frac{1}{1000}\). In everyday terms, we want less than 1 chance in 1000 of someone randomly guessing their way to victory.
So we need: \(\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^n < \frac{1}{1000}\)
Here's a helpful way to think about this: if \(\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^n < \frac{1}{1000}\), then flipping this around gives us \(2^n > 1000\).
This makes sense! We need \(2^n\) (which grows very quickly) to exceed 1000.
Now let's test the answer choices by calculating powers of 2:
Let's verify: \(\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{10} = \frac{1}{1024}\), and \(\frac{1}{1024} \approx 0.00098\), which is indeed less than \(\frac{1}{1000} = 0.001\).
Since we want the LEAST value of n, and 10 is the smallest answer choice that works, we don't need to check the larger values (50, 100, 1000).
Process Skill: APPLY CONSTRAINTS - Testing systematically to find the minimum value that satisfies our condition
The least value of n for which the probability is less than \(\frac{1}{1000}\) is n = 10.
With 10 questions, a random guesser has only a \(\frac{1}{1024}\) chance (less than \(\frac{1}{1000}\)) of getting all answers correct.
The answer is B. 10.
Students may miss the critical word "ALL" in the problem statement. The contest requires answering ALL n questions correctly to be a winner. Some students might think that getting most questions right or a certain percentage right would qualify as winning, leading them to set up an entirely different probability calculation.
The problem asks for when the probability is "less than \(\frac{1}{1000}\)." Students often confuse this and set up the inequality as \(\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^n > \frac{1}{1000}\) instead of \(\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^n < \frac{1}{1000}\). This reversal leads to finding when the probability is greater than \(\frac{1}{1000}\), which answers the opposite question.
Students might incorrectly assume that random guessing gives some probability other than \(\frac{1}{2}\) for each question. They may think there are more than 2 choices or that the probability changes based on previous answers, rather than understanding that each True/False question has exactly a \(\frac{1}{2}\) probability of being correct when guessed randomly.
Students frequently make arithmetic mistakes when calculating powers of 2, especially \(2^{10} = 1024\). They might calculate \(2^{10}\) as 1000 or some other incorrect value, leading them to conclude that n = 10 doesn't satisfy the requirement when it actually does.
When converting \(\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^n < \frac{1}{1000}\) to \(2^n > 1000\), students often make errors with the inequality direction or the algebraic manipulation. They might forget to flip the inequality when taking reciprocals, or incorrectly rewrite the inequality as \(2^n < 1000\).
Students may substitute 1000 instead of \(\frac{1}{1000}\) in their calculations, or vice versa. For example, they might check if \(\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{10} < 1000\) instead of checking if \(\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{10} < \frac{1}{1000}\), leading to completely wrong conclusions about which values of n work.
The question specifically asks for the "least value of n." Students who correctly identify that multiple answer choices work (like n = 10, 50, 100, 1000) might select a larger value thinking "bigger is safer" rather than the smallest value that satisfies the condition.
Students might do rough mental math and conclude that since \(2^{10} = 1024\) is "close to" 1000, it might not be sufficient. They may then choose n = 50 or n = 100 as a "safe" choice without properly verifying that \(\frac{1}{1024}\) is indeed less than \(\frac{1}{1000}\).
no likely faltering points